Kenya Met has predicted that several parts of the country will continue to experience rainfall during the ongoing March–April–May long rains season, even as warmer‑than‑average temperatures persist in some regions, according to a 11–15 April forecast.
In the forecast shared on Saturday, the Met Department said rainfall will remain unevenly distributed across the country, with some areas expected to receive near-normal rainfall while others record above-average or below-average amounts.
According to the forecast, near‑average rainfall is expected over the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, and parts of north‑western Kenya.
Rainfall in these regions is expected mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.
Kenya Met noted that rainfall across most parts of the country is expected to be slightly reduced during the early part of the period, then increase toward the end of April.
The department said this trend may result in occasional storms in various regions later in the month.
The forecast further indicates that parts of north‑eastern Kenya, particularly northern Marsabit, Wajir, and Mandera counties, are likely to receive above‑average rainfall during the outlook period.
Also Read: Kenya Met Lists Areas to Receive Heavy Rainfall by End of First Week of April
Kenya Met Reports Below‑Average Rainfall in Some Regions
At the same time, below‑average rainfall is forecast in the South‑Eastern Lowlands. Kenya Met also said isolated areas in the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, as well as sections of northwestern and northeastern Kenya, may experience below-normal rainfall.
The department said the Coastal region is expected to record below‑average rainfall during the period covered by the 11–15 April forecast.
Alongside the rainfall outlook, Kenya Met said warmer-than-average temperatures are expected in several parts of the country, including the Coast, northeastern Kenya, and northwestern Kenya.
In contrast, near‑ to below‑average temperatures are expected over the Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, and most parts of the Rift Valley.
Kenya Met said the forecast reflects expected weather conditions during the peak of the March–April–May long rains season and added that it will continue to monitor weather patterns and issue updates as conditions evolve.
Also Read: Kenya Met Reveals Flood Risks and Heat Surges in April 2026 Climate Outlook
Favourable Marine Conditions Expected Along Kenya Coast
According to Kenya Met, Marine conditions along the coast are expected to remain generally stable throughout the forecast period from April 11 to April 17.
Forecast data indicates southerly to south‑easterly winds ranging between 2 and 18 knots, with wave heights averaging 0.2 to 1.4 meters.
Sea conditions are projected to be slightly to moderately rough during the week, creating mostly suitable conditions for fishing, transport, and other ocean-based activities.
However, operators of small vessels are urged to exercise caution, especially during periods of stronger winds, and to stay updated with the latest marine forecasts and advisories when planning activities at sea.
