Former Makueni Governor Kivutha Kibwana has predicted a presidential rerun should current political alignments persist.
In a statement posted on social media, Kibwana outlined four likely coalition scenarios that are likely to split votes and make a second round inevitable.
Kibwana’s analysis showed the growing likelihood that no single ticket will secure the constitutional 50%+1 threshold in the first round of voting.
“If in the next election: Ruto stands alone (or with Raila), Raila (Odinga) stands solo (or with the Riggy G team), Riggy G group has one candidate (or two), Omtatah, (David) Maraga, (Reuben) Kigame, Mwangi team has one candidate (or two), then there will be a rerun! Who will be Number 1 & 2 for the Second Round?” Kibwana wrote.
Kibwana on Candidates Eyeing 2027 Presidential Sit
Several politicians have now stepped forward with intentions to contest for the presidency in the 2027 general elections.
Among them is former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, who recently signaled his readiness to enter the race.
While addressing congregants at the Full Gospel Church Magomano in Juja on Sunday, May 11, Gachagua stated that he would accept the challenge of running for president provided his party nominates him.
“To the people of Juja, I want to assure you the next election will be competitive. I’ll be in the race, so will Kalonzo, Martha Karua, Eugene Wamalwa, and Fred Matiang’i,” Gachagua said.
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“We’ll come together and agree on a single candidate. If that turns out to be me, I’m prepared to take on President Ruto,” he added.
Meanwhile, uncertainty continues to surround Raila Odinga’s political future, as speculation grows over his potential role in the proposed broad-based government.
At the same time, Gachagua’s aspirations could deepen divisions within the Mount Kenya voting bloc.
Other Candidates
Adding to the growing list of presidential aspirants, former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i made his intentions clear during a rally at Gusii Stadium, officially declaring his candidacy.
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Ending months of public speculation, Matiang’i revealed that he plans to step down from his World Bank position within three weeks to focus fully on his campaign.
Emphasizing the need for accountable and effective leadership, Matiang’i told supporters that the country requires a new direction, especially in economic and governance matters.
He further urged Kenyans to register as voters and shared plans to launch a nationwide tour to build momentum for his presidential bid.
With the electoral field potentially wide open, Kibwana’s question, who will make it to the second round?
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