The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) has forecast rainfall across several parts of the country between November 10 and November 16, 2026, with some areas expected to receive heavy downpours.
In its seven-day weather forecast released on November 9, the department said rainfall would affect the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, the Southeastern Lowlands, the Coast, and Northeastern and Northwestern Kenya.
Some areas are likely to experience heavy rainfall exceeding 20mm within 24 hours, while isolated locations could record cumulative rainfall amounts of more than 120mm during the forecast period.
“Rainfall is expected in several parts of the country, covering much of the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, Rift Valley, Southeastern Lowlands, Coast, Northeastern and Northwestern Kenya.
Some areas are likely to receive substantial (heavy) rainfall (i.e.,> 20 mm within 24 hours), with isolated pockets recording cumulative amounts exceeding 120 mm during the forecast period, as illustrated in the forecast map,” part of the forecast read.
The department also warned of high daytime temperatures in parts of the country, with average maximum temperatures expected to exceed 35°C in Garissa, Wajir, Tana River, Lamu, Kilifi, Isiolo, Marsabit, Samburu and Turkana counties.
Meanwhile, cooler night-time conditions are expected in parts of Meru, Nyeri, Nyandarua and Nakuru counties, where average minimum temperatures could fall below 10°C.
KMSA Lists Areas To Receive Rainfall
In Nairobi, residents can expect sunny intervals in the morning, light afternoon showers and partly cloudy conditions at night. Temperatures are expected to range between a maximum of 27°C and a minimum of 13°C.
Along the Coast, Mombasa, Kwale and Kilifi are expected to experience morning showers in some areas, followed by sunny intervals in the afternoon. Night conditions will be partly cloudy, with maximum temperatures ranging between 30°C and 32°C.
Tana River is forecast to have sunny intervals in the morning, light afternoon showers and partly cloudy nights, with temperatures reaching 34°C. Lamu is expected to remain mostly sunny during the day, with temperatures ranging between 26°C and 33°C.
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Northeastern and Eastern
In Northeastern Kenya, Garissa, Wajir and Mandera are expected to experience sunny intervals throughout the day, with partly cloudy conditions at night. Maximum temperatures will range between 36°C and 37°C, while minimum temperatures will fall between 25°C and 26°C.
KMSA noted that Marsabit is expected to record sunny intervals during the day, partly cloudy nights and temperatures ranging between 18°C and 26°C. Isiolo will experience sunny intervals in the morning, light afternoon showers and a maximum temperature of 34°C.
In the Eastern region, Meru is expected to receive light afternoon showers, with temperatures ranging between 14°C and 26°C. Tharaka-Nithi, Embu, Kitui, and Machakos are forecast to have generally sunny mornings, with afternoon conditions ranging from sunshine to light showers.
Makueni is also expected to receive light afternoon showers, with temperatures reaching a maximum of 32°C.
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Central and Rift Valley
In the Central Highlands, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, and Kiambu are expected to have sunny mornings, followed by varying chances of afternoon showers. Nyandarua will record some of the lowest temperatures, with a minimum of 8°C.
KMSA said Turkana in the North Rift is forecast to have sunny intervals during the day, with temperatures reaching 38°C. West Pokot and Samburu could receive light afternoon showers accompanied by thunderstorms.
Trans Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo-Marakwet and Nandi are also expected to experience afternoon showers, with thunderstorms in some areas.
Further, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho and Bomet are forecast to receive afternoon showers, with moderate rainfall and thunderstorms expected in some areas.
In Western Kenya, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma and Busia are expected to have sunny intervals in the morning, followed by moderate afternoon showers with thunderstorms.
Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii and Nyamira are also likely to receive afternoon rainfall, with some areas expected to experience moderate showers and thunderstorms.
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