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The Kenya Times
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    Trump’s Brazil Tariffs Point More To His Enduring Bond With Far-Right Bolsonaro Than Economic Concerns

    Trump’s Brazil Tariffs Point More to His Enduring Bond with Far-Right Bolsonaro Than Economic Concerns

    Faith Jematia Kiptis, An Officer At The Ministry Of Treasury And Planning. Photo/Eacc

    Treasury Employee Forced to Refund Ksh67 Million Illegal Salary

    At Least 3 Kdf Soldiers Killed In Lamu Ied Attack

    At Least 3 KDF Soldiers Killed in Lamu IED Attack

    Mary Karen Sorobit, Appearing Before The Parliament For Vetting On May 31 2025 Photo/Parliament

    Profile of Mary Karen Sorobit, IEBC Commissioner

    Number Of Registered Voters Per Constituency In Bungoma County

    Number of Registered Voters Per Constituency in Bungoma County

    Gloria Orwoba To Appeal Sh10.5M Defamation Ruling Over Harassment Claims

    Defiant Orwoba Appeals Sh10.5M Court Fine Over ‘Unproven’ Harassment Claims

    The National Flag Of The United States Of America. The National Flag Of The United States Of America.

    US Deports the Son of a Kenyan-American Soldier to Jamaica

    European Ambassadors And High Commissioners Statement On Iebc

    European Ambassadors and High Commissioners Affirm Support for New IEBC

    Iebc Chairperson Erastus Edung During Vetting At The Parliament Photo/Parliament

    IEBC Denies Claims of Mass Voter Registration in North Eastern

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      Roam Electric Motorbikes In A Warehouse

      Boda Boda Riders to Get Roam Electric Bikes for as Low as Ksh 25,000 in New Deal

      How Ai Is Being Used By African Creatives: Promise Or Problem?

      How AI is Being Used by African Creatives: Promise or Problem?

      Starlink Satellite Internet Kit

      Starlink Lifts Subscription Freeze in Nairobi After 7 Months Pause

      Roam Improves African Transport With New Modern Electric Motorcycles

      New Generation Motorcycle Launched in Kenya: Features to Enjoy

      Tiktok

      TikTok Introduces Advanced Tools for Greater User ‘For You’ Feed

      First Kenyan-Owned Aircraft To Land On Australian Soil

      First Kenyan-Owned Aircraft to Land on Australian Soil

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    Wpp Scangroup Names Kaggwa As Interim Ceo To Replace Ithau

    WPP Scangroup Names Kaggwa as Interim CEO to Replace Ithau

    Blue Lounge, Eldoret Closes Down

    Blue Lounge Club in Eldoret Shuts Down

    Trade Cs Lee Kinyanjui. Photo/ Kinyanjui X. Global Ceo Survey .

    Govt to Host Multisectoral Forum with Traders After Protest Disruptions

    A View Of The Nairobi Central Station, Nairobi Terminus Link Train. Photo/Kenya Railways

    Kenya Railways Announces Refunds After Madaraka Express Suspension

    Equity Bank Awarded Best 2025 Regional Bank In Ea

    Equity Bank Honored as Leading Regional Bank in East Africa 2025

    Airtel Managing Director Ashish Malhotra. Photo/ Airtel

    Airtel Beats Safaricom After Hitting 24 Million Customers

    Stanbic Bank

    Stanbic Bank Licensed as Corporate Trustee to Oversee Investment Schemes

    A Collage Of Osotua Luxury Resort In Naivasha. Photo/Hotel.com

    Osotua Luxury Resort in Naivasha Set for Auction

    The Capital Markets Authority Ceo, Wyckliffe Shamiah, Delivering A Keynote Speech During The Carbon Markets Conference In Nairobi On May 23, 2025. Photo/Cma.

    Govt Approves New Investment Schemes and 10 Sub-Funds in Kenya

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    Co-Operative Bank Ceo And Md Gideon Muriuki. Photo/Co-Operative Bank

    Co-op Bank Responds to Woman’s Claim of Losing Ksh10 Billion 

    Alcohol Being Poured In A Glass. Photo/ Courtesy

    NACADA Defends Raising Kenyan Legal Drinking Age to 21

    A Photo Of Johns Hopkins Hospital. Photo/Jhu.edu

    Johns Hopkins Hospital: Where It’s Located and What It Offers

    A Boy Receives A Dose Of The Pfizer/Biontech Vaccine Against Covid-19 At Discovery Vaccination Site In Sandton, Johannesburg | Afp

    Ministry Sets 48-Hour Countdown for Child Vaccinations in Kenya

    An Image Of A Man Holding A Gun. Photo/ Pexels

    Why Being Shot in the Leg Can Be Fatal- Experts

    Rupha Hospitals Offer Free Emergency Services On Saba Saba

    Private Hospitals Offering Free Select Medical Services on Saba Saba

    Medical Examiner Or Forensic Scientist With Dead Man'S Corpse In Morgue. Photo/ Pexel

    Pneumonia and Cancer Emerge Among Lead Causes of Death in Kenya

    Aga Khan University Hospital Section Head, Nuclear Radiology And Chair, Department Of Radiology

    Aga Khan Leads the Region in Advancing Prostrate Cancer Treatment

    Kenyatta National Hospital Gets Eib Global Boost For Energy Supply

    European Union Bank Intervenes to Help KNH Solve Frequent Blackout Challenge

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    Trump’s Brazil Tariffs Point More To His Enduring Bond With Far-Right Bolsonaro Than Economic Concerns

    Trump’s Brazil Tariffs Point More to His Enduring Bond with Far-Right Bolsonaro Than Economic Concerns

    Vulgar And Sexualized Language By Kenyan Political Class Must Stop

    Why Vulgar And Sexualized Language By Kenyan Political Class Must Stop

    Women In Sudan Face Significant Challenges, Including Limited Access To Education, Healthcare, And Economic Opportunities,

    Efforts to Empower Women in Sudan and the Challenges 

    Kenya 2025/26 Budget Draws Criticism Over Tax Burden

    Demystifying Revenue Measures and Expenditure Outlook in Kenya – 2025/26

    Discipline Crisis: How Weak Parenting Shapes Our Youth

    The Crisis of Discipline: How Weak Parenting is Shaping a Bleak Future for Our Youth

    Nairobi Declaration On Climate Change And Call To Action

    Why African Higher Education Should Focus on Disaster Management & Climate Change

    Govt To Recognize Jobless Kenyans Without Certificates. Miguna Miguna Calls Out Ruto On Useless Degrees Remarks

    Kenya’s Universities Are Producing Graduates, But Is the Industry Ready to Receive Them?

    Why Gen Z Protests Are A Threat To Kenya'S Politics And Status Quo

    Gen Z Is Not Passing Cloud But Seismic Change

    Donald

    At June’s NATO Summit, Just Keeping Donald Trump in the Room Will Be Seen as A Victory

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    Faith Jematia Kiptis, An Officer At The Ministry Of Treasury And Planning. Photo/Eacc

    Treasury Employee Forced to Refund Ksh67 Million Illegal Salary

    The National Flag Of The United States Of America. The National Flag Of The United States Of America.

    US Deports the Son of a Kenyan-American Soldier to Jamaica

    Iebc Chairperson Erastus Edung During Vetting At The Parliament Photo/Parliament

    Court Nullifies Notice on Appointment of IEBC Commissioners

    Ruto Goes After Judge Who Blocked Police From Erecting Roadblocks During Protests

    Ruto Goes After Judge Who Blocked Police from Erecting Roadblocks During Protests

    Ezekiel Mutua Ordered To Refund Ksh 27M Earned From Disputed Pay Rise

    Ezekiel Mutua Ordered to Refund Ksh 27M Earned from Disputed Pay Rise

    Mp Mukunji Speaks After Arraignment Amid Protests In Embu

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    Petition To Block Ruto From Constructing State House Church

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    Ocs Talaam

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    Namwamba Announces Wanjala On Verge Of Joining Elche Cf

    Namwamba Announces Wanjala on Verge of Joining Elche CF

    Kenya Rugby Union Announces Sevens Manager Job Vacancy

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    Gor Mahia Chairman Ambrose Rachier. Photo/Gor Mahia X.

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    Football Marks 95 Years Since Historic World Cup Birth In Uruguay

    Football Marks 95 Years Since Historic World Cup Birth in Uruguay

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    Kenya Simbas Confident as Crucial Zimbabwe Semifinal Looms

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    Kenyan Content Creator Mc Exodus

    From Church Boy to TikTok Star: Inspiring Story of How MC Exodus Rose to Fame

    Multichoice Is Africa'S Entertainment Platform, Which Owns Dstv And Gotv Brands In Kenya Photo/Tech With Muchiri

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    Pastor Livingston Makali Sells Prayers for Ksh5,000

    Karangu Wa Muraya Criticised Over His Sha Praises.

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    Kenya’s Melissa Kariuki Joins Grammy’s Recording Academy

    Kenya’s Melissa Kariuki Joins Grammy’s Recording Academy

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    Harsh Kenyan Economy as Thee Pluto Shuts Down 7 Businesses

    Inspector Njuguna, Police Officer Who Scored An A In Kcse July 10, 2025, Photo/Nps

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    Elon Musk Father

    How Elon Musk’s Father Married His Stepdaughter

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    Trump’s Brazil Tariffs Point More To His Enduring Bond With Far-Right Bolsonaro Than Economic Concerns

    Trump’s Brazil Tariffs Point More to His Enduring Bond with Far-Right Bolsonaro Than Economic Concerns

    Faith Jematia Kiptis, An Officer At The Ministry Of Treasury And Planning. Photo/Eacc

    Treasury Employee Forced to Refund Ksh67 Million Illegal Salary

    At Least 3 Kdf Soldiers Killed In Lamu Ied Attack

    At Least 3 KDF Soldiers Killed in Lamu IED Attack

    Mary Karen Sorobit, Appearing Before The Parliament For Vetting On May 31 2025 Photo/Parliament

    Profile of Mary Karen Sorobit, IEBC Commissioner

    Number Of Registered Voters Per Constituency In Bungoma County

    Number of Registered Voters Per Constituency in Bungoma County

    Gloria Orwoba To Appeal Sh10.5M Defamation Ruling Over Harassment Claims

    Defiant Orwoba Appeals Sh10.5M Court Fine Over ‘Unproven’ Harassment Claims

    The National Flag Of The United States Of America. The National Flag Of The United States Of America.

    US Deports the Son of a Kenyan-American Soldier to Jamaica

    European Ambassadors And High Commissioners Statement On Iebc

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    Iebc Chairperson Erastus Edung During Vetting At The Parliament Photo/Parliament

    IEBC Denies Claims of Mass Voter Registration in North Eastern

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      Roam Electric Motorbikes In A Warehouse

      Boda Boda Riders to Get Roam Electric Bikes for as Low as Ksh 25,000 in New Deal

      How Ai Is Being Used By African Creatives: Promise Or Problem?

      How AI is Being Used by African Creatives: Promise or Problem?

      Starlink Satellite Internet Kit

      Starlink Lifts Subscription Freeze in Nairobi After 7 Months Pause

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      TikTok Introduces Advanced Tools for Greater User ‘For You’ Feed

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      First Kenyan-Owned Aircraft to Land on Australian Soil

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    Wpp Scangroup Names Kaggwa As Interim Ceo To Replace Ithau

    WPP Scangroup Names Kaggwa as Interim CEO to Replace Ithau

    Blue Lounge, Eldoret Closes Down

    Blue Lounge Club in Eldoret Shuts Down

    Trade Cs Lee Kinyanjui. Photo/ Kinyanjui X. Global Ceo Survey .

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    A View Of The Nairobi Central Station, Nairobi Terminus Link Train. Photo/Kenya Railways

    Kenya Railways Announces Refunds After Madaraka Express Suspension

    Equity Bank Awarded Best 2025 Regional Bank In Ea

    Equity Bank Honored as Leading Regional Bank in East Africa 2025

    Airtel Managing Director Ashish Malhotra. Photo/ Airtel

    Airtel Beats Safaricom After Hitting 24 Million Customers

    Stanbic Bank

    Stanbic Bank Licensed as Corporate Trustee to Oversee Investment Schemes

    A Collage Of Osotua Luxury Resort In Naivasha. Photo/Hotel.com

    Osotua Luxury Resort in Naivasha Set for Auction

    The Capital Markets Authority Ceo, Wyckliffe Shamiah, Delivering A Keynote Speech During The Carbon Markets Conference In Nairobi On May 23, 2025. Photo/Cma.

    Govt Approves New Investment Schemes and 10 Sub-Funds in Kenya

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    Co-Operative Bank Ceo And Md Gideon Muriuki. Photo/Co-Operative Bank

    Co-op Bank Responds to Woman’s Claim of Losing Ksh10 Billion 

    Alcohol Being Poured In A Glass. Photo/ Courtesy

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    Faith Jematia Kiptis, An Officer At The Ministry Of Treasury And Planning. Photo/Eacc

    Treasury Employee Forced to Refund Ksh67 Million Illegal Salary

    The National Flag Of The United States Of America. The National Flag Of The United States Of America.

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    Ruto Goes After Judge Who Blocked Police from Erecting Roadblocks During Protests

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    Ezekiel Mutua Ordered to Refund Ksh 27M Earned from Disputed Pay Rise

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    Namwamba Announces Wanjala On Verge Of Joining Elche Cf

    Namwamba Announces Wanjala on Verge of Joining Elche CF

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    Football Marks 95 Years Since Historic World Cup Birth in Uruguay

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    Kenya Simbas Confident as Crucial Zimbabwe Semifinal Looms

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    Kenya’s Melissa Kariuki Joins Grammy’s Recording Academy

    Kenya’s Melissa Kariuki Joins Grammy’s Recording Academy

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Economic Miracle Lessons for Africa from Asian Tiger and Tiger Cub Economies

by Nicasio Karani Migwi
May 9, 2025
Reading Time: 6 mins read
The Economic Scramble For Africa Is On With Giant Economies Around The World Angling To Win The Heart Of The Continent. U.s And China Are The Frontrunners

President William Ruto with Chinese President Xi Jinping during his tour to Beijing. PHOTO/PCS.

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Theories on Linear Modernization and Economic Growth of Nations:Alexander Gerschenkron (1904-1974) Backwardness Model of stage wise linear economic growth hinged on his 1951 essay on, Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective’. He listed economic backwardness indicators to include low per capita, low social overhead capital, low literacy, low savings rates and low level of technological progress. Gerschenkron Model says the more a country is economically backward, the higher the likelihood it will experience exponential industrial and GDP growth, rank production over consumption, launch large scale companies and manufacturing plants, prioritize technology adoption, choose capital intensive over labor intensive, rapidly reduce agriculture share of GDP, supply capital and entrepreneurship through large banks and government.

Walt Whitman Rostow (1916-2003) served US Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson as a national security and foreign policy adviser. In 1960 he authored his book, ‘The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto’. Each of the five linear stages have differing levels of investment, consumption and social trends. Traditional society stage economy is rural, subsistence, barter trade, low per capita income, and agricultural.

Preconditions for take-off stage emphasizes education and skilling, specialization, production of surplus for trade, banks rise to mobilize capital for a growing entrepreneurial class (Chinese Guanxi, Japanese Keiretsu/Zaibatsu, South Korean Chaebols), limited manufacturing production and infrastructure investments.

Take off stage depends on urbanization, industrial sector becomes larger than agriculture, growth of investment to more than 20 percent of GDP, regional growth and smart politics. Drive to maturity phase depends on developed economies, rising levels of living , diversification of sectors, innovation, import substitution, exports promotion, and investments.

High mass consumption depends on the global free market economies, high durable goods consumption and services surpasses industry GDP.

Economic Miracles of the Four East Asian Tiger Economies and The Five South East Asia Tiger Cub Economies  

Between 1960s and 1990s, Hong Kong, Singapore (Lee Kuan Yew from 3rd World to 1st World in one generation), South Korea (Miracle on the Han River) and Taiwan (Economic and Political Miracle) experienced rapid modernization and growth of their economies.

This is in concurrence with Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth and Alexander Gerschenkron Backwardness Model.

They rapidly increased their education and training investments to create a highly skilled, productive and meritocracy driven workforce.

They raised their share of industrial manufacturing GDP over agriculture by prioritizing hinged on technology and innovation.

In addition, they invested in CAPEX infrastructure (roads, seaports, railways, energy, WASH) to drive economic and trade corridors.


Also Read: China Warns Countries Against Striking Deals With US


They adopted export promotion to advanced nations.

Also, they institutionalized favorable government policies like heavy support for exporters, access to low-interest rate credit for entrepreneurs, open economy, free trade, low taxes, minimalist welfare state, deregulation, effective civil service bureaucracy, democratic political miracle, strong governance and leadership.

The Five South East Asia Tiger Cub Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam) followed the highly successful export promotion economic model of the Four Asian Tigers to modernize and industrialize their economies.

GDP, Savings and Investment of Africa Versus Asian Tiger and Tiger Cubs

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects 2025 GDP for South Korea at $1,790bn and Indonesia at $1,429bn to be bigger than Africa’s GDP.

Taiwan follows at $804bn, Thailand $546bn, Vietnam $490bn and Malysia $444bn.

In contrast, South Africa stands at $410bn, Egypt $347bn, Algeria $268bn, Nigeria $188bn and Morocco $165bn.Singapore has a high standard of living with GDP Per Capita of $92,932, Hongkong $56, 030, South Korea $34,641and Malysia $13,144.

Mauritius leads Africa in per capita income with $12,332, oil driven Gabon $8,841, Equatorial Guinea $7,750, diamond rich Botswana $7,020 and Libya $6,800.

Taiwan’s national savings as percent GDP in 2025 is estimated at 45, South Korea 35, Vietnam 33, Indonesia 30 and Hong Kong 27.

Mineral rich African countries lead in national savings as percent of GDP with Angola at 38, Nigeria 36, Gabon 35.7, Tanzania 35 and Algeria 34.

South Korea’s total investment as percent of GDP stands at 31.5, Indonesia 31, Vietnam 30, Taiwan 26.4, and Philippines 22.6.

Natural gas, coal, iron and aluminum rich Mozambique leads Africa in total investment as a percent of GDP of 50.6, Benin 38.3, Algeria 38.1, Tanzania 38 and Botswana 37.3.

Export Promotion, Literacy, Urbanization, Electricity, Access to Credit and Innovation

World Bank in 2023 recorded Hong Kong’s exports of goods and services as percent of GDP at 177, Singapore 174, Vietnam 87, Malysia 68.5 and Thailand 56.4.

Djibouti on the Red Sea leads Africa in exports of goods and services as percent of GDP at 169, Seychelles 86, Libya 85, Maldives 74.3 and Gabon 63.7.

Malysia and Vietnam led Asian Tiger Cub economies in 2022 with adult literacy rate as percent of people aged 15 and above at 96 and Thailand followed at 90 while Africa was led by Cape Verde at 91, Eswatini 90 and Zimbabwe at 89.8.


Also Read: Trump Announces Historic US-UK Trade Deal


Hong Kong and Singapore are completely urbanized with urban population as percentage of population at 100, South Korea 81, Malysia 78.7 and Indonesia 58 while Africa’s urbanization is led by Gabon at 91, Libya 82, Djibouti 78.5, Algeria 75 and Equatorial Guinea 74.

Data on electricity generation in terra-watt hours from Ember in 2023 shows South Korea at 618 TWh mostly coal, nuclear and gas, Indonesia 351, Taiwan 282, Vietnam 276 and Thailand 190 while Africa was led by South Africa at 234 TWh, Egypt 220, Algeria 96, Nigeria 43 and Morocco 42.

Hong Kong ranks high in domestic credit to private sector by banks as percent of GDP in 2023 at 249, South Korea 176, Thailand 119, and Malysia 117 while Mauritius leads Africa with 67, Tunisia 62, Morocco 58, South Africa 57.6 and Cabo Verde 55.Singapore was ranked 4th in the 2024 WIPO Global Innovation Index,  South Korea 6th, Hong Kong 18th , Malysia 33 and Thailand 41 while Africa was led by Mauritius at 55, Morocco 66, South Africa 69 , Tunisia 81 and Egypt 86.

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President William Ruto In A Meeting With Imf Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, Css Alfred Mutua, Davis Chirchir Among Other Leaders. Photo/Pcs.
President William Ruto in a meeting with IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva, CSs Alfred Mutua, Davis Chirchir among other leaders. PHOTO/PCS.
Tags: Africa EconomyKenya EconomySingaporeSouth Korea

Nicasio Karani Migwi

Nicasio Karani Migwi is a specialist in banking and financial services, macroeconomics, strategic management, international business and Corporate Governance (Board Directorship). He currently works as a General Manager- Special Projects and Bank Economist - real economy & financial markets at Equity Group Holdings PLC. He did part-time lecturing for the MBA Global Strategic Management at Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology. His education background comprise ; PhD (Business Administration , Strategic Management) student at Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology ,MSc Economics of the University of Copenhagen- Denmark as a Full Danish Government Scholar, MA Banking and Finance at Sheffield Hallam University- UK as a Full Commonwealth Shared Scholarship Scheme Scholar ,BA Economics at Moi University- Kenya, Executive Education in University Business Schools (Columbia - New York USA -General Managers Leadership Program, Harvard - Boston, USA- Accion Strategic Leadership for Microfinance ,Strathmore - The Effective Director Program, Boulder Institute - Turin, Italy -Microfinance Policy). Nicasio is member of the Institute of Directors of Kenya, Economists Society of Kenya, Kenya Institute of Bankers, Kenya Institute of Management and World Economics Association.

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