President William Ruto is projected to win the 2027 presidential election if current voter preferences are maintained, according to a Swiss Poll International survey released on November 14, 2026.
Ruto commands a 37 per cent share of the presidential vote preference, opening a nine-percentage-point lead over Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, who registers 28 per cent.
Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna follows with 15 per cent, while former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i and former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua each garner six per cent, according to Swiss Poll International’s survey.
Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro received four per cent, while three per cent of respondents were undecided and one per cent preferred other candidates.
“President Ruto’s 37% places him nine percentage points ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka at 28%. Edwin Sifuna follows at 15%; the remaining named contenders together account for 16%, with 3% undecided and 1% others,” Swiss Poll International survey indicated.
However, Swiss Poll International reports that Ruto’s popularity has slightly declined compared with its previous survey, while Kalonzo has recorded a notable increase in support.
Ruto’s Party Leads Political Party Popularity
On political party support, the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) emerged first with 34.1 per cent.
The Linda Mwananchi Movement (LMM) followed with 15.1 per cent, while the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) recorded 9.8 per cent.
Wiper gathered 9.1 per cent support, followed by ODM at 7.5 per cent and Jubilee at 5.3 per cent, while PPK attracted 3.6 per cent, DAP-K 1.8 per cent, and FORD Kenya 1.1 per cent.
Other parties received a combined 0.6 per cent, while 12 per cent of respondents were undecided.
Also Read: Ruto, Sifuna Tie in 2027 Presidential Poll
Kalonzo Leads Opposition Presidential Preference
Kalonzo emerged as the most preferred opposition presidential flagbearer with 45 per cent, according to the survey.
Sifuna followed with 28 per cent, while Matiang’i recorded 11 per cent; Gachagua received nine per cent, and Nyoro registered four per cent.
Further, among respondents identified as anti-Ruto supporters, a proposed arrangement featuring Kalonzo as President, Sifuna as Deputy President and Matiang’i as Prime Cabinet Secretary received 48 per cent.
A proposed arrangement featuring Kalonzo as President, Sifuna as Deputy President and Matiang’i as Prime Cabinet Secretary received 48 per cent.
Another combination featuring Kalonzo as President, Matiang’i as Deputy President and Sifuna as Prime Cabinet Secretary received 12 per cent.
“The most favoured proposed arrangement, Kalonzo for President, Sifuna for Deputy President and Matiang’i for Prime Cabinet Secretary, attracts 48% of the reported anti-Ruto subgroup. The second configuration, led by Sifuna, receives 23%. The Kalonzo Musyoka-Matiang’i combination comes third,” Swill Poll reported.
Proposed arrangements of a Matiang’i-Kalonzo-Gachagua combination at seven per cent and a Matiang’i-Ndindi-Sifuna arrangement at six per cent, while other combinations accounted for four per cent.
Also Read: New Twist as Kalonzo Spills the Beans on Ruto’s Sudan Deal
Kenya’s Position
Forty-eight per cent of respondents explained that Kenya was heading in the wrong direction.
The high cost of living, accounting for 34 per cent, was the leading reason for negative assessments, followed by unemployment at 22 per cent, corruption at 15 per cent, and poor governance at 10 per cent.
In contrast, 41 per cent of respondents believed the country was moving in the right direction, while 11 per cent remained neutral on the country’s direction.
On the reasons for positive assessments of the country’s direction, respondents cited economic projects at 30 per cent, infrastructure at 22 per cent and education reforms at 18 per cent.
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