President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged as joint front-runners in the 2027 presidential race, with both commanding 31 per cent support, according to a new TIFA Research poll.
The survey released on Thursday, November 12, places the two politicians ahead of other potential presidential contenders as support for several opposition figures continues to decline.
Ruto’s support has risen steadily from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 31 per cent in November 2026, reflecting a 13-percentage-point increase over the period.
Sifuna, on the other hand, has recorded a sharp rise in popularity, moving from zero per cent support between 2022 and 2025 to 31 per cent in the latest survey.
TIFA Poll Places Ruto and Sifuna Neck and Neck in 2027 Race
Former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka ranked among the leading contenders but recorded a decline in support, falling from a high of 25 per cent in August 2022 to 9 per cent in November 2026.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i also recorded a significant drop, with his support declining from 32 per cent in August 2022 to 5 per cent in November 2026.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua attracted 4 per cent support, down from a peak of 9 per cent recorded in May 2026.
Kiharu Member of Parliament (MP) Ndindi Nyoro emerged among the potential contenders, registering 1 per cent support in the November 2026 survey.
Meanwhile, support for other presidential hopefuls dropped to 1 per cent, compared to a peak of 14 per cent in September 2025.
The poll further showed that 15 per cent of respondents remained undecided on their preferred presidential candidate, down from 20 per cent in June 2026.
Another 4 per cent declined to state their preference, with the proportion remaining relatively stable throughout the survey period.
Also Read: UDA Retains Top Spot as Linda Mwananchi Surges Past ODM in Latest Survey
Who Should Be Ruto’s Running Mate?
Deputy President Kithure Kindiki emerged as the preferred running mate for President William Ruto in the 2027 General Election, commanding 55 per cent support among the Head of State’s supporters.
The placed Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga second with 12 per cent, followed by Mining Cabinet Secretary Hassan Joho, who garnered 9 per cent.
ODM party leader Oburu Odinga, Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi and National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetangula each received 4 per cent support.
According to the survey, Kindiki’s commanding lead suggests that Ruto’s supporters favour retaining him as Deputy President rather than introducing a new running mate.
Also Read: Edwin Sifuna Unveils Linda Mwananchi Movement Dream Team
TIFA Poll Reveals Opposition Supporters’ 2027 Unity Expectations
A majority of opposition supporters believe that leaders within the Linda Mwananchi Movement and the United Opposition/Ukombozi group are likely to unite ahead of the 2027 General Election.
The survey found that 57 per cent of opposition supporters considered a political alliance between the two groups very likely, while another 22 per cent said it was somewhat likely.
However, 8 per cent of respondents said a unity deal was unlikely, while 7 per cent ruled out the possibility altogether.
Another 6 per cent were undecided on whether opposition leaders would overcome their political differences and agree on a common position before the election.
The survey was based on 758 opposition supporters who were asked how likely they thought the Linda Mwananchi and Ukombozi opposition leaders were to unite ahead of the 2027 polls.
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