The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has released its weather forecast for the period between June 30 and July 6, 2026, indicating that rainfall is expected in several parts of the country during the week.
According to the forecast, rainfall is expected over the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Rift Valley, and the Coastal region.
“Rainfall is expected over the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Rift Valley, and the Coast,” Kenya Met advised.
Kenya Met Forecasts Cool, Cloudy Conditions Expected Across Parts of Kenya
The department also forecasts intermittent cool and cloudy conditions across parts of the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Southeastern Lowlands, the Rift Valley, and Northeastern Kenya.
Some parts of the Coast, Northeastern and Northwestern Kenya are expected to record daytime maximum temperatures exceeding 30°C during the forecast period.
Meanwhile, night-time minimum temperatures below 10°C are expected in a few areas of the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, the Central Rift Valley, and areas around Mount Kilimanjaro.
Also Read: Kenya Met Explains Key Rainfall Terms Kenyans Must Know
“Night-time (minimum) average temperatures are expected to be less than 10°C in a few areas in the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, the Central Rift Valley and in the vicinity of Mt. Kilimanjaro,” Kenya Met stated.
The weather outlook indicates varying conditions across the country, with some regions experiencing rainfall while others remain generally warm during the day.
Residents in areas forecast to receive rainfall are expected to experience wet conditions at different times during the seven-day period.
Kenya Met Lists Areas to Receive Rain as Cool Weather Persists
According to the Kenya Met Department 24-hour cumulative rainfall forecast maps for early July 2026, the Lake Victoria Basin and Western Kenya are expected to receive the heaviest and most consistent rainfall.
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Areas likely to be affected include Kisumu, Kakamega, Bungoma, Busia, and parts of Turkana and West Pokot.
The forecast also indicates significant rainfall across parts of the Central Highlands and the Rift Valley, including Eldoret, Nakuru, Nyeri, Meru, Embu, Nanyuki, and the Nairobi region.
Moderate rainfall is expected in parts of the Southeastern Lowlands, including Kitui, Machakos, Makueni, and extending towards Taita-Taveta.
Along the Coastal region, rainfall is forecast in Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale, and Lamu, with the intensity expected to increase in the later forecast period.
KMD Warns of El Niño During October to December Rainy Season
Speaking to the press on June 12, Assistant Director of the KMD, Hannah Kimani, said that the current forecast indicates an 80 percent probability that an El Niño will develop during the October-November-December (OND) rainfall season.
“We are having very high probabilities of experiencing an El Niño signal during the October, November, and December rainfall season,” she said.
Kimani further explained that the situation could be worsened by a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which is currently neutral but is expected to turn positive from July.
She added that, combined with the anticipated El Niño signal, the two climate phenomena are likely to trigger above-normal rainfall across parts of the country, increasing the risk of floods and related disasters.
The Kenya Met Department said it will continue monitoring the evolving weather patterns and issue regular updates to guide preparedness efforts.
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