More Kenyans support the broad-based government between President William Ruto and Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, a new Tifa Research survey shows.
Poll results have revealed that the broad-based government support grew from 22% in May to 29% in August-September.
However, opposition to the broad-based government rose sharply from 54% to 64%.
Meanwhile, the share of respondents who gave no response fell from 25% to just 7%, indicating that Kenyans are becoming more decisive about the Ruto–Raila deal.
According to TIFA, the decline in the undecided group is due to more Kenyans taking firm positions, with support rising by 7 percentage points and opposition increasing by 10 points since May.
“The broad-based government faces a legitimacy challenge, as opposition is not only dominant but also growing,” read the report.
“Although support has inched up slightly, it remains far overshadowed by those opposed, and indecision is declining as citizens become more decisive in their stance.”
TIFA Opinion on Broad-Based Govt
TIFA stated that the partnership appeared to have strengthened further following Raila Odinga’s failure to secure the African Union chairmanship in February.
Since then, President Ruto has made several visits to Odinga’s Nyanza stronghold to commission development projects, a move seen as reinforcing their cooperation.
However, while both leaders remain popular, the arrangement has caused unease within sections of their core support bases.
With the next general election now less than two years away, its evolving impact is drawing growing scrutiny across the political landscape.
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Tifa adds that upcoming by-elections scheduled for the end of November may provide early clues on whether these national sentiments toward the BBG will translate into voting patterns ahead of 2027, even though the ballot choices remain largely unknown.
“The various by-elections to be held at the end of November should give some indication as to how much such national opinion about the BBG will be reflected in the outcome of the next general election, even if it still two years away, and the various ballot-’menus’ to be presented to voters at that time remain largely unknown,” read part of the report.
Also Read: TIFA Poll-Majority of Kenyans Want Uhuru to Permanently Quit Politics
Report on Where the Country Is Heading
At the same time, more Kenyans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction.
The poll findings reveal that perceptions of Kenya moving in the wrong direction rose sharply to 62% in August/September 2025, compared to 36% in September 2023 and 48% in March 2023.
At the same time, the proportion of those who felt the country was moving in the right direction dropped to just 15%, down from 49% in 2023.
Meanwhile, 18% said the country is neither moving in the right nor the wrong direction, up slightly from 9% in May 2025.
Tifa notes that the trend points to declining optimism and rising disillusionment between 2023 and 2025.
“The trend points to declining optimism and growing disillusionment about Kenya’s trajectory between 2023 and 2025. While a minority still feel positive, the dominant view in 2025 is that the country is moving in the wrong direction, reflecting likely dissatisfaction with governance, economic performance, and recent policy impacts (e.g., Finance Bill, cost of living),” read part of the report.
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