The Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has issued a weather forecast for February 16 to February 23, 2026, indicating mixed conditions across the country.
In a public statement on February 16, KMD reported that several parts of the country will be sunny and dry, while rainfall is likely in some parts of the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, and the Southeastern Lowlands.
Kenya Met Issues Weather Forecast
Kenya Met stated that counties likely to see the most rain include Migori, Homa Bay, Kisii, Nyamira, parts of Narok, and parts of Kajiado and Taita Taveta toward the Tanzanian border.
The wet conditions extend across much of the Lake Region and the South Rift, covering counties from Kisumu and Siaya to Busia, Kakamega, Bungoma, Trans Nzoia, and down through Kericho, Bomet, Nandi, and Uasin Gishu.
The images seen by The Kenya Times show that rainfall will be more frequent in the afternoons and nights, with mornings remaining mostly sunny.
Light to moderate showers may also occur in sections of the Central Highlands and Nairobi.
These include Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Kiambu, Embu, Tharaka Nithi, Meru and parts of the capital.
Also Read: Flight Delays Hit JKIA, Kenya Airways Gives Way Forward to Passengers
Most of these areas will experience cloudy starts, sunny intervals, and brief afternoon showers in a few places.
South Eastern Lowlands and Coastal Counties
In the Southeastern Lowlands, irregular showers are expected in Kitui, Machakos and Makueni.
Coverage in these counties will be uneven with long dry hours between rainfall episodes.
Coastal counties, which include Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale, Lamu, and Tana River, will be mainly hot and sunny.
The northern and northeastern counties will remain the driest.
Mandera, Wajir, Marsabit, Isiolo, Garissa, and most of Turkana will be sunny, dry, and at times windy, with very low rainfall chances.
Hot Conditions for North-Eastern Kenya
The latest temperature map from the Kenya shows very hot conditions across the eastern and north‑eastern parts of the country, with several north-eastern counties expected to record maximum temperatures above 36°C.
The highest temperatures are concentrated in Garissa, Tana River, Isiolo, Mandera, Wajir and parts of Kitui and Marsabit, where strong heat is expected throughout the day.
Most of central and eastern Kenya, including Machakos, Makueni, Tharaka Nithi, Meru, Embu, Kirinyaga, Murang’a and Kiambu, will record temperatures between 26°C and 35°C. Nairobi also falls in this band.
Cooler daytime conditions appear in the western highlands and central Rift Valley, where Kericho, Bomet, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet and Trans Nzoia range between 16°C and 25°C. Parts of Nyandarua and western Laikipia are even lower.
Also Read: IEBC Addresses Reports that It is Working with State House to Manipulate Voter Register
Coastal counties remain hot, with Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale, Lamu and Taita Taveta mostly between 31°C and 35°C.
Cold Temperatures to Prevail
Kenya Met has stated that there will be widespread cool nights across the central and western highlands, with several counties expected to record lows between 6°C and 10°C.
These areas include Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Meru, Nakuru, Kericho, Bomet, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Trans Nzoia and parts of Narok.
These regions will experience extremely cold nights and chilly mornings.
Sections of the Rift Valley and western Kenya, including Baringo, Samburu, West Pokot and parts of Kakamega and Bungoma, will record night temperatures between 11°C and 15°C.
Much of central Kenya, including Kiambu, Machakos, Embu and Tharaka Nithi, falls within the 16°C to 20°C band.
Warmer nights are expected in eastern and north‑eastern counties such as Garissa, Wajir, Mandera, Isiolo and Tana River, where temperatures remain between 21°C and 25°C.
Follow our WhatsApp Channel and X Account for real-time news updates.
