UDA Remains Kenya’s Leading Political Party – TIFA

The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) remains the most popular political party in Kenya, a new Tifa Research survey shows.

According to recent TIFA surveys, 16 percent of Kenyans support UDA, while 31 percent say they support no political party, the highest such figure recorded since political polling returned to Kenya in the late 1990s.

“UDA remains the most popular political party, though the level of support expressed for it (16%) is only half that expressed for no political party at all (31%),” part of the report read.

“Combined with those who indicate they are currently “undecided” as to which party they support, four out of ten Kenyans currently express support for no party at all – the highest such figure ever obtained from this question since political polling returned to Kenya in the late 1990s.”

UDA Remains Kenya’s Leading Political Party – TIFA

When combined with those who are currently undecided, roughly four in ten Kenyans express support for no party, signaling a significant shift in the country’s political landscape.

However, UDA’s backing dropped from 38% to 16%, while ODM fell from 32% to 13%.

Jubilee also saw a slight decrease from 5% to 3%, whereas Wiper maintained its 4% support. DCP emerged as a new contender with 9% support, and smaller parties like Ford-Kenya and DAP-Kenya remained steady at 1% each. Support for other parties grew from 4% to 10%.

Most notably, the proportion of Kenyans who are undecided or support no party jumped from 15% to 43%, now representing the largest single group.

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According to TIFA, the trend indicates a growing disillusionment with traditional parties, reflecting voter dissatisfaction or reluctance to commit to existing political options.

The report notes that whether these numbers will rise as the country approaches the next elections in two years—and how they will be distributed among the various political parties—remains to be known.

However, the upcoming by-elections at the end of November are expected to provide some early indications. 

“Whether such numbers increase as the country approaches the next elections in two years – and just how they will be distributed across the ‘menu’ of political parties – time will tell, though the various by-elections at the end of November should give some preliminary indication,” the report read.

Also Read: TIFA Poll: Raila Leading In Presidential Contest At 46.7pc

Support for Broad-based Govt

Meanwhile, the combined support for parties whose leaders are most closely associated with the Building Bridges Initiative (BBI) — including UDA, ODM, and Ford-Kenya — stands at just 30 percent.

Support for the BBG varies widely across the country. It is strongest in Northern Kenya at 61%, followed by the President’s home region of Central Rift at 45%.

The lowest levels of support are in Mt. Kenya (11%) and Lower Eastern (17%), the home areas of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, respectively.

In Nyanza, the home region of former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, support stands at 34%, a reflection of his improved relations with the Kenya Kwanza government and the inclusion of senior ODM figures within it. 

“Evidently a reflection of former prime minister Odinga’s now-cordial relations with the Kenya Kwanza government and the presence of several senior ODM figures within it, residents of Nyanza give the BBG its third highest level of support in regional terms (34%),” read the report.

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